Curriculum Vitae January, 2001

Thomas S. Wallsten

Department of Psychology

University of Maryland

College Park, MD 20742-4411 USA

Phone: 1-301-405-3562

Fax: 1-301-314-9566

Email: twallsten@psyc.umd.edu

Educational History:

1964 B.S. University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin (Psychology)

1966 M.A. University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Experimental Psychology)

1969 Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Experimental Psychology)

Academic Honors, Scholarships, and Fellowships:

University of Wisconsin: Sophomore, Major and Thesis Honors; Full Tuition Scholarship

University of Pennsylvania: National Institutes of Health Predoctoral Fellow, 1967-68

University of Michigan: National Institute of Mental Health Postdoctoral Fellow, 1969-70

University of North Carolina: Kenan Sabbatical Leave, 1977

James McKeen Cattell Sabbatical Fellowship, 1985-86

Fellow of the American Psychological Association

Fellow of the American Psychological Society

Alexander von Humboldt Foundation in Germany: Senior Scientist Research Award, 1996.

Fellow of the Society of Experimental Psychologists

Professional Experience:

1969 Instructor, College of General Studies, University of Pennsylvania

1969-70 Visiting Scientist, University of Michigan

1970-75 Assistant Professor, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

1975-81 Associate Professor, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

1981-2000 Professor, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

2000-present Professor, University of Maryland at College Park

l985 Visiting Scholar, University of Chicago

l986 Visiting Professor, University of Haifa, Israel

1989-1999 Director, Cognitive Psychology Training Program, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

1996 Visiting Scholar, Duke University Fuqua School of Business

1997 Visiting Professor, Universität Oldenburg, Germany

1997-2000 Director, UNC-CH Cognitive Science Program

Professional and Honorary Organizations:

· American Psychological Society, Fellow

· American Psychological Association, Fellow

· Psychonomic Society

· Society for Mathematical Psychology (charter member)

Executive Committee 1984-1987, 1990-1994, 1996-Present

New Investigator Award Committee 1988, 1998

· Institute for Research in the Social Sciences

· Psychometric Society

· Judgment and Decision Making Society

Program Committee Chairman, l987-1988

Executive Committee Member 1989-1991

President-Elect 1998-1999, President 1999-2000, Past-President 2000-2001

· Society of Experimental Psychologists

Fellow

Grant Support:

· Co-Principal Investigator (with Amnon Rapoport) on NSF Grant SOC 74-15027, "Bargaining and Coalition Formation: Theory and Data," 9/1/74-2/28/77.

· Co-Principal Investigator (with Peter Ornstein) on a University Research Council Grant, "An Initial Study into the Psychology of Reading Braille, "11/14/73-11/14/76.

· Principal Investigator on a Spencer Foundation Grant, "Reading Rates and Comprehension Scores in Visual and Tactual Modalities," 8/1/76-7/3l/78.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant BSN 76-20759, "Cognitive Processes in Judgment and Diagnosis," 1/1/77-6/30/80.

· Principal Investigator on ONR Contract N-00014-78-C-0170, "Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior," 1/1/78-8/31/79.

· Principal Investigator on University Research Council Grant, Sequential Effects on Inference," 4/16/80-4/15/82.

· Principal Investigator on University Research Council Grant, "Information Processing in Probabilistic Inference and Classification," 11/13/80-11/12/83.

· Principal Investigator on U.S. Army Research Institute Contract MDA903-83-K-0347, "Meanings of Non-numerical Probability Terms," 8/16/83-8/15/86.

· Co-Investigator (with David Budescu) on Israeli Binational Science Foundation Grant 8203394, "Non-numerical Judgments of Subjective Probabilities," 9/1/84-8/31/87.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant BNS-8608692, "Judgment and choice on the basis of linguistic or vague information," 8/16/86-8/15/89.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant BNS-8908554, "Combining and using vague and precise information for decision making," 8/1/89-1/31/93.

· Principal Investigator on University Research Council Grant, "Children's memory: Encoding and retrieval of personal experiences," 7/1/92-6/30/93.

· Co-Investigator (with David Budescu) on University of Illinois Research Board Grant, "Probabilistic judgments with multidimensional correlated evidence," 1/1/93-5/31/94.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant SBR-9222159, "Models of uncertainty due to lack of knowledge," 4/1/93-9/30/96.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant SBR-9601281, "Collaborative research: understanding, improving and aggregating subjective judgments," 8/15/96-2/14/00.

· Principal Investigator on NSF Grant SBR-9975350, “Collaborative research: Basic and applied research leading to a linguistic probability translator.” 9/15/99 – 9/14/02.

Consultant Activities:

· Environmental Protection Agency: Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, 1979-1982; Office of Planning, Policy, and Evaluation, 1987-1989; Science Advisory Board's Environmental Health Committee, 1991-1995.

· Argonne National Laboratory: Division of Environmental and Engineering Sciences, 1983-1992, 1993-1997.

· Research Triangle Institute: Center for Economic Research, 1983-1985, 1992-1995, 1996.

· Systems Applications Incorporated, 1985-1988.

· Energy and Resource Consultants, l986-1987.

· Duke Cancer Prevention, Detecton and Control Unit, 1998-present.

Professional Service Activities:

· Consulting Editor, Journal of Experimental Psychology, 1973-1974.

· Consulting Editor, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition, 1980- 1984.

· Member of Editorial Board, Memory and Cognition, 1985-1989

· Member of Editorial Board, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1974-1987.

· Associate Editor, Psychometrika, 1984-1988

· Member of Editorial Board, Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1984-1989, 1995-1999.

· Editor, Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1990-1994

· Member, National Science Foundation Review Panel for the Methodology, Measurement & Statistics Program of the Division of Social, Behavioral, and Economics Research. 1995-1997.

· Co-Chair of the Organizing and Program Committee of the 29th Annual meeting of the Society for Mathematical Psychology, 1996.

· Guest Co-Editor of a special issue of the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making on Stochastic and Cognitive Models of Judgement, (Vol 10, #3, 1997).

· Associate Editor, Journal of Experimental Pyschology, Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2000-2004.

Have also done reviews for National Science Foundation, National Institute of Mental Health, Science, Psychological Review, Journal of Applied Psychology, American Journal of Psychology, and numerous other journals, as well as organized symposia at various professional meetings.

University Service Activities:

· Steering Committee for University Self Study, Member, 1972-1973.

· College of Arts and Sciences, Undergraduate Advisor, 1972 - 1975, 1982-1984.

· Ad-hoc Committee on the Evaluation of Teaching and Courses, Member, 1975.

· Provost's Committee to Study the Computing Resources and Services Devoted to Instruction and Research at Chapel Hill, Member, 1983.

· Steering Committee to explore a University Curriculum in Information Studies, Member, 1986-1987.

· Academic Affairs Institutional Review Board, Chair, 1987-1989; Member 1989-1992.

· Cognitive Sciences Advisory Committee, Member, 1991.

· University Reaccreditation Self Study Committee, Members of Task Force on Educational Support Services, 1993-1994.

· Faculty Hearings Committee 1994-1995.

· Hillel Faculty Advisory Board 1995-1996.

· Ad hoc committee for the development of a Cognitive Science Program. Chair 1995-1997.

Department Service Activities:

· Committee on Undergraduate Studies, Member, 1972-1984.

· Colloquium Committee, Member, 1973-1978; Chair, 1978-1981.

· Committee to Respond to the Department's External Evaluation, Member, 1975.

· Department Ethics Committee, Member, 1975-1979; Chair, 1979-1985.

· Computer Usage Committee, Chair, 1980-1985.

· Personnel Committee, 1981-present.

· Departmental Self Study Committee; Chair, l987.

· Director, Cognitive Psychology Training Program, 1989-present.

· Space and Resources Committee, 1991-present.

· Planning Committee, 1992-1993.

· Advisory Committee, 1994-present.

· Computer Services Committee, Chair 1993-1996

· Departmental Faculty Workload-Study Committee, Chair, 1998.

Civic Activities:

· Board of Directors of Chapel Hill Day Care Center, Member, 1975-1976.

· Community Resource Program of Chapel Hill-Carrboro PTA Council, Chairman, 1975-1978.

· Budget Education Committee for Chapel Hill-Carrboro Board of Education, Member, 1979-1980.

· Cub Scout Pack 867, Frank Porter Graham School, Cubmaster, 1980-1982.

· Executive Board, Judea Reform Congregation, Member, 1984-1985.

· Executive Board, Durham-Chapel Hill Jewish Federation, Member 1987-1996; Vice President, 1988-1992, Co-Chair of UJA/Federation Campaign 1997-1999.

· Chapel Hill-Carrboro School System Committee on Review Procedures for Internal Research, Member, 1989-1990

Publications and Presentations:

Book

Wallsten, T. S. (1980). (Ed.), Cognitive processes in choice and decision behavior. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.

Book Chapters

Wallsten, T. S. (1974). The psychological concept of subjective probability: A measurement theoretical view. In C.A.S. Staël von Holstein (Ed.), The concept of probability in psychological experiments. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Reidel, pp. 49-72.

Wallsten, T. S. (1977). Measurement and interpretation of beliefs: A review. In H. Jungermann & G. deZeeuw (Eds.), Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs. Dordrecht, Holland: Reidel, pp. 369-393.

Wallsten, T. S. (1977). Processing information for decisions. In N. J. Castellan, D. Pisoni, & G. Potts (Eds.), Cognitive Theory, Vol. II. Potomac, MD: Lawrence Erlbaum, pp. 87-116.

Wallsten, T. S. (1980). Processes and models to describe choice and inference. In T. S. Wallsten (Ed.), Cognitive processes in choice and decision behavior. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum, pp. 215-238.

Wallsten, T. S. (1983). The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics. In R. W. Scholz (Ed.), Decision making under uncertainty Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Company, pp. 21-38.

Wallsten, T. S. (1985). Measurement theory. In S. .Kotz & N. L. Johnson (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Vol. 5. New York: Wiley, pp. 387-389.

Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1987). Subjective estimation of precise and vague uncertainties. In G. Wright & P. Ayton (Eds.), Judgmental Forecasting. Sussex, England: Wiley, pp. 63-81.

Zwick, R., Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1988). An empirical study of the integration of linguistic probabilities. In T. Zetenyi (Ed.), Fuzzy Set Theory in Psychology. Amsterdam: North Holland, pp. 91-125.

Hayes, S. R., Rosenbaum, A. S., Wallsten, T. S., Whitfield, R. G., Winkler, R.L., & Richmond, H. (1989). A health risk assessment for use in setting the U.S. Primary ozone standard. In T. Schneider & S. K. Lee (Eds.), Atmospheric ozone research and its policy implications. Amsterdam: Elsevier Press.

Wallsten, T. S. (1990). Measuring vague uncertainties and understanding their use in decision making. In G. M. von Furstenberg (Ed.), Acting under uncertainty. Norwell, MA: Kluwer, pp. 377-398.

Wallsten, T. S. (1990). The costs and benefits of vague information. In R. Hogarth (Ed.), Insights in decision making. A tribute to the late Hillel Einhorn. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, pp. 28-43.

Wallsten, T. S., Richmond, H. M., Whitfield, R. G., Rosenbaum, A. S., Hayes, S. R. & Winkler, R. C. (1990). Chronic lung injury risk assessment for ozone. In Proceedings of the 83rd Annual Meeting of the Air & Water Waste Management Association. Pittsburgh: Air & Water Management Association.

Wallsten, T. S. (1993). Time pressure and payoff effects on multidimensional probabilistic inference. In O. Svenson & J. Maule (Eds.). Time pressure and stress in human judgment and decision making. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 167-179.

Whitfield, R. G., Richmond, H. R., Hayes, S. R., Rosenbaum, A. S., Wallsten, T. S., Winkler, R. L., Absil, M. J. G., & Narducci, P. (1994). Health risk assessment of ozone. In D. J. McKee (Ed.), Tropospheric Ozone. Chelsea, MI: Lewis Publishers, pp. 129-173.

Budescu, D. V. & Wallsten, T. S. (1995). Processing Linguistic Probabilities: General Principles and Empirical Evidence. In J. R. Busemeyer, R. Hastie and D. L. Medin (Eds.). Decision making from the perspective of cognitive psychology. San Diego, CA: Academic Press, pp. 275-318.

Journal Articles and Reviews

Wallsten, T. S. (1968). Failure of predictions from subjectively expected utility theory in a Bayesian decision task. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 3, 239-252.

Wallsten, T. S., & Catlin, J. (1968). The observing response is not due to biased expectancies. Psychonomic Science, 13, 77-78.

Wallsten, T. S. (1971). Subjectively expected utility theory and subjects' probability estimates: Use of measurement-free techniques. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 88, 31-40.

Rapoport, A., & Wallsten, T. S. (1972). Individual decision behavior. Annual Review of Psychology, 23, 131-176.

Wallsten, T. S. (1972). 8TRAN Language and the PDP-8 facility at the L. L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory. Behavior Research Methods and Instrumentation, 4, 107-108.

Wallsten, T. S. (1972). A conjoint-measurement framework for the study of probabilistic information processing. Psychological Review, 79, 245-260.

Holt, J. O., & Wallsten, T. S. (1975). A user's manual for CONJOINT; A computer program for evaluating certain conjoint-measurement axioms. Catalog of Selected Documents in Psychology, Fall, 5, 317, Ms. No. 1079. Also as L. L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Research Memorandum No. 42, Chapel Hill, NC, 1974.

Kahan, J. P., Coston, A. W., Helwig, R. A., Rapoport, A., & Wallsten, T. S. (1976). A PDP-11/45 program for playing n-person characteristic function games. Behavior Research Methods and Instrumentation, 8, 165-169.

Wallsten, T. S. (1976). A note on Shanteau’s “Averaging versus Multiplying Combination Rules of Inference Judgment.” Acta Psychologica, 40, 325-330.

Wallsten, T. S. (1976). Using conjoint-measurement models to investigate a theory about probabilistic information processing. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 14, 144-185.

Wallsten, T. S., & Delaney, H. (1977). Probabilistic information processing: Effects of a biased payoff matrix on choices and bids. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 20, 203-237.

Wallsten, T. S., & Sapp, M. M. (1977). Strong ordinal properties of an additive model for the sequential processing of probabilistic information. Acta Psychologica, 41, 225-253.

Kahan, J. P., Rapoport, A., & Wallsten, T. S. (1978). Sources of power in four-person apex games. Contributions to Experimental Economics, 8, 75-l06.

Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1979). A note on monotonic transformation in the context of functional measurement and analysis of variance. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 14, 307-310.

Wallsten, T. S. (1979). Using algebraic models to study human decision behavior. Published in Russian in the Proceedings of the US/USSR Symposium on Mathematical Models in Psychology. (also as L. L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Memorandum No. 47, Chapel Hill, NC.)

Wallsten, T. S. (1981). Review of Samuel Shye (Ed.), Theory construction and data analysis in the behavioral sciences. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 76, 500.

Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1981). Additivity and non-additivity in judging MMPI profiles. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 7, 1096-1107.

Wallsten, T. S., & Lambert, R. M. (1981). Visual braille and print reading as a function of display field size. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 17, 15-18.

Wallsten, T. S. (1981). Physician and medical student bias in evaluating diagnostic information. Medical Decision Making, 1, 145-164.

Wallsten, T. S. (1982). A glossary of concepts. (Review of Concepts and judgment in decision research: Definitions, sources, interrelations, comments, by B. F. Anderson, D. H. Deane, K. R. Hammond, G. H. McClelland, & J. C. Shanteau.) Contemporary Psychology, 27, 993.

Wallsten, T. S., & Barton, C. (1982). Processing probabilistic multidimensional information for decisions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition, 8, 361-384.

Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1983). Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review. Management Science, 29, 151-173.

Wallsten, T. S., Forsyth, B. H., & Budescu, D. V. (1983). Stability and coherence of health experts' upper and lower subjective probabilities about dose-response curves. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 31, 277-302.

Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1985). Consistency in interpretation of probabilistic phrases. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 36, 391-405.

Eckerman, D. A., Carroll, J. B., Foree, D., Gullion, C. M., Lansman, M., Long, E. R., Waller, M. B., & Wallsten, T. S. (1985). An approach to brief field testing for neurotoxicity. Neurobehavioral Toxicology and Teratology, 7, 387-393.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V., Rapoport, A., Zwick, R., & Forsyth, B. H. (1986). Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 115, 348-365.

Wallsten, T. S., Fillenbaum, S., Cox, J. A. (1986). Base rate effects on the interpretations of probability and frequency expressions. Journal of Memory and Language, 25, 571-587.

Rapoport, A., Wallsten, T. S., & Cox, J. A. (1987). Direct and indirect scaling of membership functions of probability phrases. Mathematical Modelling, 9, 397-417.

Wallsten, T. S. (1987). How precise are probability phrases? Social Science, 72, 212-215.

Budescu, D. V., Weinberg, S., & Wallsten, T. S. (1988). Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 14, 281-294.

Carey, T. S., Hadler, N. M., Gillings, D., Stinnett, S., & Wallsten, T. S. (1988). Medical disability assessment of the back pain patient for the social security administration. The weighting of presenting clinical features. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 41, 691-697.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V., & Erev, I. (1988). Understanding and using linguistic uncertainties. Acta Psychologica, 68, 39-52.

Jaffe-Katz, A., Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1989). Timed magnitude comparisons of numerical and nonnumerical expressions of uncertainty. Memory and Cognition, 17, 249-264.

Whitfield, R. G., & Wallsten, T. S. (1989). A risk assessment for selected lead-induced health effects: An example of a general methodology. Risk Analysis, 9, 197-207.

Zwick, R., & Wallsten, T. S. (1989). Combining stochastic and linguistic inexactness: Theory and experimental evaluation of four fuzzy probability models. International Journal of Man Machine Studies, 30, 69-111. [Reprinted in B. R. Gaines & J. H. Boose (Eds.), Machine Learning and Uncertain Reasoning: Knowledge-Based Systems, Volume 3. New York: Academic Press, pp. 337-380.

Budescu, D. V., & Wallsten, T. S. (1990). Dyadic decisions with verbal and numerical probabilities. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 46, 240-263.

Budescu, D. V., Zwick, R., Wallsten, T. S., & Erev, I. (1990). Integration of linguistic probabilities. International Journal of Man Machine Systems, 33, 657-676.

Rapoport, A., Wallsten, T., Erev, I., & Cohen, B. L. (1990). Revision of opinion with verbally and numerically expressed uncertainties. Acta Psychologica, 74, 61-79.

Wallsten, T. S. (1990). Editorial. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 34, 1.

Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1990). Comment on Mosteller and Youtz' "Quantifying probabilistic expressions." Statistical Science, 5, 23-26.

Erev, I., Wallsten, T. S., & Neal, M. (1991). Vagueness, ambiguity, and the cost of mutual understanding. Psychological Science, 2, 321-324.

Fillenbaum, S., Wallsten, T. S., Cohen, B., & Cox, J. A. (1991). Some effects of available vocabulary and communication task on the understanding and use of vague probability expressions. American Journal of Psychology, 104, 35-60.

Cohen, B. L., & Wallsten, T. S. (1991). The effect of outcome desirability on the interpretation of probability phrases. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , 5, 53-72.

González-Vallejo, C. C., & Wallsten, T. S., (1992). Effects of probability mode on preference reversal. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition, 18, 855-864.

Erev, I., Bornstein, G. & Wallsten, T. S. (1993). The negative effect of probability assessments on decision quality. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 55, 78-94.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V., & Zwick, R. (1993). Comparing the calibration and coherence numerical and verbal probability judgments. Management Science, 39, 176-190.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V., Zwick, R., & Kemp, S. M. (1993). Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in numerical or verbal terms. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 31, 135-138.

Erev, I. & Wallsten, T. S. (1993). The effect of explicit probabilities on decision weights and the reflection effect. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 6, 221-241.

Erev, I., Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1994). Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 101, 519-527.

González-Vallejo, C. C., Erev, I., & Wallsten, T. S. (1994). Do decision quality and preference order depend on whether probabilities are verbal or nonverbal? American Journal of Psychology, 107, 157-172.

Wallsten, T. S. & González-Vallejo, C. C. (1994). Statement verification: A stochastic model of judgment and response. Psychological Review, 101, 490-504.

Friedman, C.P., McNutt, R.A., de Bliek, R., Evans, A.T., Wallsten, T.S., Martz, J.M. (1994). Visual information and the diagnosis of chest pain. Academic Medicine, 69: S28‑S30.

Winkler, R. L., Wallsten, T. S., Whitfield, R. G., Richmond, H. M., Hayes, S. R. & Rosenbaum, A. S. (1995). An assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure. Operations Research, 43, 19-28.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu D. V. (1995). A Review of Human Linguistic Probability Processing: General Principles and Empirical Evidence. The Knowledge Engineering Review, 10, 43-62.

Budescu, D.V. and Wallsten, T.S. (1995). Review of "Communicating Quantities: A Psychological Perspective" by Linda M. Moxey and Anthony J. Sanford. Chance, 8, 38-40.

Wallsten, T.S. (1995). Keep UNC system on cutting edge. The Charlotte Observer. Friday, May 12,.

Martin, S.A., Wallsten, T.S. and Beaulieu, N.D. (1995). Assessing the risk of microbial pathogens: Application of a judgment-encoding methodology. Journal of Food Protection, 58, 289-295.

Ariely, D., Wallsten, T. S. (1995). Seeking Subjective Dominance in Multidimensional Space: An explanation of the asymmetric dominance effect. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 63, 223-232.

Wallsten, T.S. (1996). An analysis of judgment research analyses. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 220-226.

Bender, R. H., Wallsten, T. S. & Ornstein, P. A. (1996). Age differences in encoding and retrieving details of a Pediatric Examination. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 3, 188-198.

Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V. & Tsao, C. J. (1997). Combining linguistic probabilities. Psychlogische Beiträge, 39, 27-55.

Budescu, D.V., Erev. I., & Wallsten, T.S. (1997). On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment: Part I: New theoretical developments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 157-171.

Budescu, D.V., Wallsten, T.S., & Au, W-T. (1997). On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment: Part II: Applying the stochastic judgment model to detect systematic trends. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 173-188.

Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Erev, I. & Diederich, A. (1997). Evaluating and combining subjective probability estimates. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 243-268.

Budescu, D. V., Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. (1997). Introduction to this special issue on stochastic and cognitive models of confidence. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 153-155.

Wallsten, T.S., Bender, R.H., & Li, Y.(1999) Dissociating judgment from response processes in statement verification: The effects of experience on each component. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, Cognition, 25, 96-115.

Ariely, D., Au, W-T, Bender, R. H., Budescu, D. U., Dietz, C. B., Gu, H., Wallsten, T.S., and Zauberman, G. (2000). The effects of averaging probability estimates between and within judges. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 6, 130-147.

Wallsten, T. S., Erev, I. & Budescu, D. V. (2000). The Importance of Theory: Response to Brenner (2000). Psychological Review, 107, 947-949.

Wallsten, T.S.,& Diederich, A (2001). Understanding Pooled Subjective Probability Estimates. Mathematical Social Science, 41, 1-18.

Johnson, T. R., Budescu, D. V., and Wallsten, T. S. (in press). Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic value. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.

Gu, H. & Wallsten, T. S. (in press). On setting criteria for calibrated subjective probability estimates. Journal of Mathematical Psychology.

Submitted Papers

Wallsten, T. S. & Gu, H. (2001). Distinguishing Choice and Subjective Probability Estimation Processes: Implications for Theories of Judgment and for Cross-Cultural Comparisons. Submitted for publication.

Technical Reports, Memoranda, and Unpublished Papers

Wallsten, T. S. (l970). Subjects' probability estimates and subjectively expected utility theory: Their relationship and some limitations. Chapel Hill, NC: L. L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Report No. 85.

Wallsten, T. S. (l97l). Probabilistic information processing, Bayes' rule and conjoint-measurement. Chapel Hill, NC: L. L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Report No. 98.